PHIEagles
4-8
26
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
75°F
11 mph
10
MIADolphins
4-8
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
75°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
24
0
0
24
Dolphins
7
0
3
0
10
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
239
204
Total Plays
66
64
Yards / Play
3.6
3.2
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.48
Passing Yards
188
95
Comp/Att
15/30(50%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
3.3
EPA / Pass
-0.07
-0.76
Rushing Yards
51
109
Rush Attempts
32
26
Yards / Rush
1.6
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.42
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
11
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
27%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-4.22
-8.20
Sacks
4
9
Sack Yards
-20
-60
Sack EPA
-3.81
-15.28
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
69
81
Penalty EPA
-5.65
-6.77
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model54.8%
Spread Pick
Eagles+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-1
Home nfelo
1,522
Away nfelo
1,569
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-17.0
Home QB Adjustment
-0.7
Away QB Adjustment
+16.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
33.7
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+16.3
M. Moore
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-0.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
6
Yards / Game
5
15
Passing Yards / Game
10
30
Rushing Yards / Game
5
4
EPA
EPA / Play
8
11
EPA / Pass
15
14
EPA / Rush
3
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
3
Interceptions / Game
31
17
Fumbles / Game
21
32
Turnover EPA / Game
3
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
4
4th Down Efficiency
10
23
RZ Efficiency
16
5
Dolphins Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
9
Yards / Game
23
8
Passing Yards / Game
22
15
Rushing Yards / Game
10
16
EPA
EPA / Play
18
12
EPA / Pass
17
10
EPA / Rush
20
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
21
Interceptions / Game
9
18
Fumbles / Game
27
4
Turnover EPA / Game
21
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
12
4th Down Efficiency
19
14
RZ Efficiency
24
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Dolphins
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
1-9
O/U