PHIEagles
1-3
36
TBD
MetLife Stadium
66°F
6 mph
21
NYGGiants
0-4
TBD
MetLife Stadium
66°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
16
3
14
36
Giants
7
0
14
0
21
Spread
-1.5
Total
OVER
53.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
439
383
Total Plays
77
70
Yards / Play
5.7
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.16
-0.10
Passing Yards
299
330
Comp/Att
22/39(56%)
24/52(46%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.05
Rushing Yards
140
53
Rush Attempts
37
17
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
21
Passing 1st downs
12
17
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
6
1
3rd Down %
47%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
19
13
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-17.23
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-3
-4
Sack EPA
-1.13
-0.12
Penalties
8
12
Penalty Yards
88
136
Penalty EPA
-7.55
-12.12
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
+3.0
Current
-1.5
Model
+2.0
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model46.1%
Spread Pick
Giants+1.5
Expected Value
+2.5%
Cover Probability
53.7%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+69
Home nfelo
1,483
Away nfelo
1,441
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-29.1
Home QB Adjustment
-19.4
Away QB Adjustment
+9.8
Market Regression
-38.1
Final Difference
27.3
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+9.8
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-19.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
17
Yards / Game
2
8
Passing Yards / Game
4
2
Rushing Yards / Game
1
12
EPA
EPA / Play
4
7
EPA / Pass
5
8
EPA / Rush
2
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
20
Interceptions / Game
3
12
Fumbles / Game
12
5
Turnover EPA / Game
23
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
22
4th Down Efficiency
11
3
RZ Efficiency
13
15
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
18
Yards / Game
29
30
Passing Yards / Game
13
31
Rushing Yards / Game
29
13
EPA
EPA / Play
32
21
EPA / Pass
28
20
EPA / Rush
32
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
9
Interceptions / Game
32
6
Fumbles / Game
31
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
24
4th Down Efficiency
15
11
RZ Efficiency
30
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U