PHIEagles
4-3
23
TBD
MetLife Stadium
56°F
9 mph
28
NYGGiants
4-3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
56°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
7
7
6
23
Giants
14
7
7
0
28
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
443
302
Total Plays
74
61
Yards / Play
6.0
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.19
Passing Yards
347
248
Comp/Att
27/47(57%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.01
Rushing Yards
96
54
Rush Attempts
25
24
Yards / Rush
3.8
2.3
EPA / Rush
-0.30
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
16
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
20%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.38
-7.93
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-17
-9
Sack EPA
-1.53
-2.61
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-3.20
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+59
Home nfelo
1,506
Away nfelo
1,521
Home Field
+68.7
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
-26.1
Home Bye Adj
+16.6
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+5.4
Home QB Adjustment
+0.0
Away QB Adjustment
-5.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-5.4
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+0.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
4
Yards / Game
20
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
15
Rushing Yards / Game
9
2
EPA
EPA / Play
16
7
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
13
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
30
Interceptions / Game
16
8
Fumbles / Game
7
19
Turnover EPA / Game
23
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
15
RZ Efficiency
25
1
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
11
Yards / Game
23
12
Passing Yards / Game
24
3
Rushing Yards / Game
29
15
EPA
EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
24
5
EPA / Rush
29
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
19
Interceptions / Game
21
8
Fumbles / Game
23
17
Turnover EPA / Game
14
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
19
4th Down Efficiency
14
11
RZ Efficiency
19
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U