PHIEagles
8-4
45
TBD
Giants Stadium
42°F
038
NYGGiants
7-5
TBD
Giants Stadium
42°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
8
10
7
8
33
Giants
3
14
14
7
38
Spread
-1
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
376
512
Total Plays
54
72
Yards / Play
7.0
7.1
EPA / Play
+0.36
+0.12
Passing Yards
299
379
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
27/38(71%)
Yards / Pass
10.3
10.0
EPA / Pass
+0.47
+0.50
Rushing Yards
77
133
Rush Attempts
24
31
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
27
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
38%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
8
12
Red Zone %
60%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
4
Turnover EPA
-4.62
-16.64
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-10
-12
Sack EPA
-0.72
-6.08
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
--
54
Penalty EPA
--
-3.88
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model52.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+2
Home nfelo
1,597
Away nfelo
1,666
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+15.6
Home QB Adjustment
+6.9
Away QB Adjustment
-8.7
Market Regression
-16.0
Final Difference
-16.0
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
D. McNabb
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-8.7
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
30
Yards / Game
11
13
Passing Yards / Game
5
13
Rushing Yards / Game
24
13
EPA
EPA / Play
14
30
EPA / Pass
12
23
EPA / Rush
10
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
20
Interceptions / Game
8
22
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
23
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
16
4th Down Efficiency
28
27
RZ Efficiency
27
32
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
19
Yards / Game
9
16
Passing Yards / Game
6
32
Rushing Yards / Game
17
12
EPA
EPA / Play
8
9
EPA / Pass
8
9
EPA / Rush
16
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
10
Interceptions / Game
10
4
Fumbles / Game
30
14
Turnover EPA / Game
12
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
4
4th Down Efficiency
9
25
RZ Efficiency
20
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Giants
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
5-4-1
O/U