PHIEagles
-
38
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
82°F
5 mph
10
CARPanthers
-
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
82°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
16
7
0
26
Panthers
7
3
0
0
10
Spread
-2.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
267
169
Total Plays
63
69
Yards / Play
4.2
2.4
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.63
Passing Yards
82
83
Comp/Att
17/29(59%)
14/34(41%)
Yards / Pass
2.8
2.4
EPA / Pass
-0.44
-1.00
Rushing Yards
185
86
Rush Attempts
32
30
Yards / Rush
5.8
2.9
EPA / Rush
+0.22
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
9
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
19%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
7
Interceptions
1
5
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-10.74
-31.68
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-20
-55
Sack EPA
-8.84
-13.64
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
76
30
Penalty EPA
-8.24
-4.14
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
+2.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-27
Home nfelo
1,530
Away nfelo
1,604
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-15.0
Home QB Adjustment
-4.8
Away QB Adjustment
+10.2
Market Regression
-46.0
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
D. McNabb
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+10.2
J. Delhomme
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-4.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
9
Yards / Game
11
8
Passing Yards / Game
5
3
Rushing Yards / Game
24
23
EPA
EPA / Play
14
6
EPA / Pass
12
4
EPA / Rush
10
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
18
Interceptions / Game
8
6
Fumbles / Game
27
2
Turnover EPA / Game
23
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
6
4th Down Efficiency
28
21
RZ Efficiency
27
12
Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
19
Yards / Game
19
16
Passing Yards / Game
22
32
Rushing Yards / Game
3
12
EPA
EPA / Play
22
9
EPA / Pass
22
9
EPA / Rush
8
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
10
Interceptions / Game
28
4
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
9
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
4
4th Down Efficiency
21
25
RZ Efficiency
18
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-3-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U