PHIEagles
3-1
9
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
15 mph
13
OAKRaiders
1-4
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
3
0
3
9
Raiders
7
3
0
3
13
Spread
+14.5
Total
UNDER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
283
325
Total Plays
66
65
Yards / Play
4.3
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.24
-0.19
Passing Yards
216
209
Comp/Att
22/46(48%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.31
-0.35
Rushing Yards
67
116
Rush Attempts
14
35
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
18
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
13%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-7.58
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-53
-15
Sack EPA
-11.30
-3.44
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
38
20
Penalty EPA
-3.31
-1.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-14.5
Current
-14.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market87.7%
Model81.9%
Spread Pick
Raiders+14.5
Expected Value
+21.4%
Cover Probability
63.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-159
Home nfelo
1,386
Away nfelo
1,582
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-36.5
Home QB Adjustment
-31.6
Away QB Adjustment
+4.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-262.0
Model Spread
+10.5
Quarterbacks
D. McNabb
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+4.9
J. Russell
Proj. Value
-5.2
Team Elo Adj
-31.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
23
Yards / Game
11
25
Passing Yards / Game
5
15
Rushing Yards / Game
24
29
EPA
EPA / Play
14
26
EPA / Pass
12
27
EPA / Rush
10
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
3
Interceptions / Game
8
31
Fumbles / Game
27
23
Turnover EPA / Game
23
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
7
4th Down Efficiency
28
28
RZ Efficiency
27
10
Raiders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
19
Yards / Game
31
16
Passing Yards / Game
26
32
Rushing Yards / Game
21
12
EPA
EPA / Play
29
9
EPA / Pass
30
9
EPA / Rush
22
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
10
Interceptions / Game
22
4
Fumbles / Game
32
14
Turnover EPA / Game
11
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
4
4th Down Efficiency
18
25
RZ Efficiency
29
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
4-0-6
O/U
Raiders
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
2-3-5
O/U