PHIEagles
3-5
49
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
6 mph
20
OAKRaiders
3-4
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
62°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
21
21
0
49
Raiders
3
10
0
7
20
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
542
560
Total Plays
57
92
Yards / Play
9.5
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.61
+0.01
Passing Yards
418
350
Comp/Att
24/31(77%)
29/56(52%)
Yards / Pass
13.5
6.3
EPA / Pass
+1.10
-0.17
Rushing Yards
124
210
Rush Attempts
25
33
Yards / Rush
5.0
6.4
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
29
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
12
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
40%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
18
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-8.12
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-1
-25
Sack EPA
-1.05
-5.93
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
52
70
Penalty EPA
-6.12
-8.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model51.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-14
Home nfelo
1,384
Away nfelo
1,519
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+47.4
Home QB Adjustment
+0.5
Away QB Adjustment
-47.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
9.3
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-47.0
T. Pryor
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+0.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
29
Yards / Game
2
21
Passing Yards / Game
4
30
Rushing Yards / Game
1
11
EPA
EPA / Play
4
26
EPA / Pass
5
32
EPA / Rush
2
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
11
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
12
11
Turnover EPA / Game
23
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
28
4th Down Efficiency
11
6
RZ Efficiency
13
22
Raiders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
18
Yards / Game
23
30
Passing Yards / Game
30
31
Rushing Yards / Game
11
13
EPA
EPA / Play
24
21
EPA / Pass
24
20
EPA / Rush
16
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
9
Interceptions / Game
24
6
Fumbles / Game
27
3
Turnover EPA / Game
9
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
24
4th Down Efficiency
10
11
RZ Efficiency
5
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
2-8
O/U