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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. eagles @ saints week 19, 2006

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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PHI logo
PHIEagles
11-6
24
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0
27
NOSaints
10-6
NO logo
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
14
7
3
24
Saints
3
10
14
0
27

Game Statistics

General
Eagles logo
Saints logo
Total Yards
355
435
Total Plays
51
72
Yards / Play
7.0
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.12
Passing Yards
232
227
Comp/Att
15/30(50%)
20/32(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.14
Rushing Yards
123
208
Rush Attempts
20
37
Yards / Rush
6.2
5.6
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
Eagles logo
Saints logo
1st Downs
14
27
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
15
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
50%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Eagles logo
Saints logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.97
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-8
-16
Sack EPA
+1.98
-2.26
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
39
35
Penalty EPA
-6.12
-3.91

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Eagles Offense vs Saints Defense
Eagles logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
7
19
Yards / Game
3
11
Passing Yards / Game
7
10
Rushing Yards / Game
10
24

EPA

EPA / Play
7
18
EPA / Pass
7
15
EPA / Rush
4
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
26
Interceptions / Game
1
30
Fumbles / Game
15
30
Turnover EPA / Game
19
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
5
4th Down Efficiency
20
21
RZ Efficiency
12
22
Saints Offense vs Eagles Defense
Saints logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
6
17
Yards / Game
1
19
Passing Yards / Game
3
4
Rushing Yards / Game
19
28

EPA

EPA / Play
6
15
EPA / Pass
3
4
EPA / Rush
15
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
25
Interceptions / Game
5
13
Fumbles / Game
24
18
Turnover EPA / Game
15
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
15
4th Down Efficiency
11
12
RZ Efficiency
10
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PHI logo

Eagles

7-3
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/29
-7
L
L
P
11/12
24
W
W
P
11/19
-18
L
L
P
11/26
-24
L
L
P
12/04
3
W
W
P
12/10
2
W
P
P
12/17
14
W
W
P
12/25
16
W
W
P
12/31
7
W
P
P
01/07
3
W
L
P
NO logo

Saints

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/29
-13
L
L
P
11/05
17
W
W
P
11/12
-7
L
L
P
11/19
-15
L
L
P
11/26
18
W
W
P
12/03
24
W
W
P
12/10
25
W
W
P
12/17
-6
L
L
P
12/24
23
W
W
P
12/31
-10
L
L
P