PHIEagles
5-4
15
TBD
Lumen Field
54°F
5 mph
26
SEASeahawks
6-2
TBD
Lumen Field
54°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
7
0
8
15
Seahawks
6
10
7
3
26
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
310
439
Total Plays
74
63
Yards / Play
4.2
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.13
+0.05
Passing Yards
197
287
Comp/Att
23/46(50%)
19/32(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
9.0
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.31
Rushing Yards
113
152
Rush Attempts
26
30
Yards / Rush
4.3
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.65
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-23
--
Sack EPA
-5.03
-1.53
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
48
48
Penalty EPA
-5.11
-4.98
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+190
Home nfelo
1,619
Away nfelo
1,538
Home Field
+97.6
Base HFA
+57.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
+20.5
Net QB Adjustment
+11.6
Home QB Adjustment
+3.9
Away QB Adjustment
-7.7
Market Regression
+14.1
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-7.7
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
2
Yards / Game
20
5
Passing Yards / Game
22
14
Rushing Yards / Game
9
6
EPA
EPA / Play
16
8
EPA / Pass
20
16
EPA / Rush
13
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
6
Interceptions / Game
16
25
Fumbles / Game
7
23
Turnover EPA / Game
23
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
12
4th Down Efficiency
18
5
RZ Efficiency
25
20
Seahawks Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
11
Yards / Game
15
12
Passing Yards / Game
4
3
Rushing Yards / Game
21
15
EPA
EPA / Play
14
10
EPA / Pass
10
5
EPA / Rush
21
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
19
Interceptions / Game
15
8
Fumbles / Game
6
17
Turnover EPA / Game
21
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
19
4th Down Efficiency
21
11
RZ Efficiency
26
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
6-3-1
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U