PHIEagles
7-0
29
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
017
HOUTexans
1-5
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
7
7
8
29
Texans
7
7
3
0
17
Spread
+13.5
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
362
303
Total Plays
63
57
Yards / Play
5.7
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.10
Passing Yards
217
135
Comp/Att
21/27(78%)
13/22(59%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.32
Rushing Yards
145
168
Rush Attempts
32
32
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.15
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
20
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
9
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
50%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
10
9
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.18
-8.98
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-26
-19
Sack EPA
-11.10
-5.88
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
31
24
Penalty EPA
-3.97
-2.66
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model81.1%
Spread Pick
Texans+13.5
Expected Value
+10.4%
Cover Probability
57.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-198
Home nfelo
1,374
Away nfelo
1,595
Home Field
+59.8
Base HFA
+39.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.7
Time Adj
+7.0
Net QB Adjustment
-37.0
Home QB Adjustment
-17.9
Away QB Adjustment
+19.1
Market Regression
+7.6
Final Difference
-253.1
Model Spread
+10.5
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+19.1
D. Mills
Proj. Value
-1.6
Team Elo Adj
-17.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
27
Yards / Game
3
30
Passing Yards / Game
6
17
Rushing Yards / Game
4
32
EPA
EPA / Play
2
12
EPA / Pass
6
13
EPA / Rush
1
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
18
Interceptions / Game
3
7
Fumbles / Game
17
10
Turnover EPA / Game
14
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
14
4th Down Efficiency
4
26
RZ Efficiency
3
19
Texans Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
7
Yards / Game
31
1
Passing Yards / Game
22
3
Rushing Yards / Game
31
16
EPA
EPA / Play
31
5
EPA / Pass
31
1
EPA / Rush
31
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
15
Interceptions / Game
31
9
Fumbles / Game
20
6
Turnover EPA / Game
3
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
12
4th Down Efficiency
16
19
RZ Efficiency
28
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Texans
2-7-1
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U