PHIEagles
8-5
30
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
048
MINVikings
3-9
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
6
13
8
30
Vikings
7
10
10
21
48
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
53
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
477
455
Total Plays
67
73
Yards / Play
7.1
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.32
Passing Yards
398
370
Comp/Att
30/50(60%)
26/35(74%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
10.6
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.37
Rushing Yards
79
85
Rush Attempts
13
35
Yards / Rush
6.1
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
29
Passing 1st downs
22
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
50%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
40%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
5
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.69
-4.24
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-32
-12
Sack EPA
-7.89
-4.44
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
94
--
Penalty EPA
-12.97
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model64.2%
Spread Pick
Vikings+7.0
Expected Value
+15.6%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-43
Home nfelo
1,454
Away nfelo
1,569
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-1.0
Home QB Adjustment
-9.1
Away QB Adjustment
-8.1
Market Regression
+7.8
Final Difference
-101.3
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-8.1
M. Cassel
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-9.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
32
Yards / Game
2
31
Passing Yards / Game
4
32
Rushing Yards / Game
1
16
EPA
EPA / Play
4
29
EPA / Pass
5
29
EPA / Rush
2
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
11
Interceptions / Game
3
25
Fumbles / Game
12
27
Turnover EPA / Game
23
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
30
4th Down Efficiency
11
25
RZ Efficiency
13
26
Vikings Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
18
Yards / Game
15
30
Passing Yards / Game
21
31
Rushing Yards / Game
9
13
EPA
EPA / Play
15
21
EPA / Pass
27
20
EPA / Rush
1
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
9
Interceptions / Game
20
6
Fumbles / Game
29
3
Turnover EPA / Game
8
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
24
4th Down Efficiency
14
11
RZ Efficiency
17
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Vikings
3-6-1
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U