ATLFalcons
3-9
7
TBD
Candlestick Park
54°F
6 mph
26
SF49ers
3-9
TBD
Candlestick Park
54°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
0
1
0
1
49ers
7
10
0
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
105
334
Total Plays
44
71
Yards / Play
2.4
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.41
+0.01
Passing Yards
67
153
Comp/Att
9/27(33%)
17/25(68%)
Yards / Pass
2.5
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.58
-0.04
Rushing Yards
38
181
Rush Attempts
12
44
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
7
21
Passing 1st downs
4
9
Rushing 1st downs
1
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
18%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.04
+4.59
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-39
-16
Sack EPA
-5.35
-2.64
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
65
87
Penalty EPA
-6.15
-4.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
30
Yards / Game
27
29
Passing Yards / Game
21
29
Rushing Yards / Game
30
14
EPA
EPA / Play
26
30
EPA / Pass
19
31
EPA / Rush
30
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
23
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
23
29
Turnover EPA / Game
8
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
24
4th Down Efficiency
20
30
RZ Efficiency
12
30
49ers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
25
Yards / Game
10
16
Passing Yards / Game
22
10
Rushing Yards / Game
2
29
EPA
EPA / Play
14
25
EPA / Pass
21
26
EPA / Rush
2
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
6
Interceptions / Game
20
28
Fumbles / Game
17
29
Turnover EPA / Game
18
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
22
4th Down Efficiency
23
13
RZ Efficiency
17
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U