ATLFalcons
8-5
3
TBD
Soldier Field
12°F
8 mph
16
CHIBears
9-4
TBD
Soldier Field
12°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
3
0
0
3
Bears
0
6
10
0
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
231
226
Total Plays
65
59
Yards / Play
3.6
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.29
-0.12
Passing Yards
117
98
Comp/Att
13/32(41%)
11/26(42%)
Yards / Pass
3.7
3.8
EPA / Pass
-0.39
-0.10
Rushing Yards
114
128
Rush Attempts
31
32
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
14
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
38%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.23
+2.40
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-5
-7
Sack EPA
-1.23
-1.76
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
75
16
Penalty EPA
-5.86
-2.32
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
1
Yards / Game
11
4
Passing Yards / Game
28
11
Rushing Yards / Game
1
11
EPA
EPA / Play
14
1
EPA / Pass
20
1
EPA / Rush
5
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
20
Interceptions / Game
7
3
Fumbles / Game
16
22
Turnover EPA / Game
17
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
2
4th Down Efficiency
25
4
RZ Efficiency
8
1
Bears Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
18
Yards / Game
28
22
Passing Yards / Game
32
17
Rushing Yards / Game
9
26
EPA
EPA / Play
31
17
EPA / Pass
31
7
EPA / Rush
20
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
15
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
14
2
Turnover EPA / Game
26
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
1
4th Down Efficiency
17
26
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U