ATLFalcons
1-0
14
TBD
Mile High Stadium
84°F
10 mph
42
DENBroncos
0-1
TBD
Mile High Stadium
84°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
7
7
0
14
Broncos
13
21
8
0
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
186
409
Total Plays
46
74
Yards / Play
4.0
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.27
+0.20
Passing Yards
137
241
Comp/Att
12/28(43%)
20/32(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.45
+0.45
Rushing Yards
47
154
Rush Attempts
13
40
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.46
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
29
Passing 1st downs
8
16
Rushing 1st downs
1
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
18%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-13.19
--
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-32
-13
Sack EPA
-11.52
-3.80
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
71
54
Penalty EPA
-3.62
-4.08
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
21
Yards / Game
30
21
Passing Yards / Game
20
23
Rushing Yards / Game
28
8
EPA
EPA / Play
28
18
EPA / Pass
30
15
EPA / Rush
28
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
23
Interceptions / Game
23
2
Fumbles / Game
23
8
Turnover EPA / Game
7
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
6
4th Down Efficiency
18
9
RZ Efficiency
30
9
Broncos Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
26
Yards / Game
2
25
Passing Yards / Game
2
19
Rushing Yards / Game
4
26
EPA
EPA / Play
6
24
EPA / Pass
6
23
EPA / Rush
5
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
2
Interceptions / Game
4
22
Fumbles / Game
15
25
Turnover EPA / Game
19
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
10
4th Down Efficiency
12
21
RZ Efficiency
9
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U