ATLFalcons
5-2
41
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
54°F
12 mph
28
DENBroncos
5-2
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
54°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
17
7
8
35
Broncos
14
0
0
14
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
467
567
Total Plays
62
74
Yards / Play
7.5
7.7
EPA / Play
+0.37
+0.06
Passing Yards
272
--
Comp/Att
19/25(76%)
31/55(56%)
Yards / Pass
10.9
--
EPA / Pass
+0.77
+0.09
Rushing Yards
195
68
Rush Attempts
36
19
Yards / Rush
5.4
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.11
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
27
Passing 1st downs
11
21
Rushing 1st downs
10
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
46%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.44
-17.32
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-5
--
Sack EPA
-1.09
--
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
56
70
Penalty EPA
-11.88
-8.50
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
13
Yards / Game
20
5
Passing Yards / Game
28
23
Rushing Yards / Game
1
4
EPA
EPA / Play
17
18
EPA / Pass
30
13
EPA / Rush
2
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
30
Interceptions / Game
13
28
Fumbles / Game
25
28
Turnover EPA / Game
17
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
6
4th Down Efficiency
6
7
RZ Efficiency
12
16
Broncos Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
14
Yards / Game
4
15
Passing Yards / Game
31
14
Rushing Yards / Game
5
9
EPA
EPA / Play
8
13
EPA / Pass
8
15
EPA / Rush
11
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
7
Interceptions / Game
24
12
Fumbles / Game
3
13
Turnover EPA / Game
13
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
18
4th Down Efficiency
11
24
RZ Efficiency
29
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U