ATLFalcons
9-5
16
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
34°F
6 mph
24
CLEBrowns
8-7
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
34°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
7
9
0
16
Browns
3
7
0
14
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
331
318
Total Plays
69
62
Yards / Play
4.8
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.04
Passing Yards
226
129
Comp/Att
17/40(43%)
14/25(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.51
Rushing Yards
105
189
Rush Attempts
27
34
Yards / Rush
3.9
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.19
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
47%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
20%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-10.80
-15.95
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-14
-25
Sack EPA
-2.02
-4.42
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
27
25
Penalty EPA
-5.03
-1.23
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
13
Yards / Game
13
24
Passing Yards / Game
19
2
Rushing Yards / Game
4
22
EPA
EPA / Play
8
14
EPA / Pass
14
15
EPA / Rush
8
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
18
Interceptions / Game
5
14
Fumbles / Game
23
23
Turnover EPA / Game
24
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
20
4th Down Efficiency
13
15
RZ Efficiency
25
4
Browns Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
6
Yards / Game
20
19
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
26
18
EPA
EPA / Play
15
7
EPA / Pass
12
9
EPA / Rush
20
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
19
Interceptions / Game
25
3
Fumbles / Game
10
10
Turnover EPA / Game
27
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
21
4th Down Efficiency
1
10
RZ Efficiency
14
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
7-2-1
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U