ATLFalcons
8-3
10
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
74°F
7 mph
34
TBBuccaneers
9-3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
74°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
3
0
7
10
Buccaneers
0
21
6
7
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
181
421
Total Plays
49
61
Yards / Play
3.7
6.9
EPA / Play
-0.17
+0.24
Passing Yards
119
271
Comp/Att
12/25(48%)
23/31(74%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.27
+0.55
Rushing Yards
62
150
Rush Attempts
23
29
Yards / Rush
2.7
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
22
Passing 1st downs
5
15
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
25%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.24
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-6
-5
Sack EPA
-1.38
-1.62
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
45
38
Penalty EPA
-5.89
-4.09
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
1
Yards / Game
13
1
Passing Yards / Game
19
9
Rushing Yards / Game
4
3
EPA
EPA / Play
8
1
EPA / Pass
14
1
EPA / Rush
8
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
17
Interceptions / Game
5
1
Fumbles / Game
23
26
Turnover EPA / Game
24
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
3
4th Down Efficiency
13
21
RZ Efficiency
25
1
Buccaneers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
6
Yards / Game
24
19
Passing Yards / Game
28
23
Rushing Yards / Game
25
18
EPA
EPA / Play
21
7
EPA / Pass
15
9
EPA / Rush
25
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
19
Interceptions / Game
4
3
Fumbles / Game
11
10
Turnover EPA / Game
21
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
21
4th Down Efficiency
8
10
RZ Efficiency
23
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
8-1-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U