ATLFalcons
8-6
24
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
66°F
9 mph
27
TBBuccaneers
9-5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
66°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Falcons
7
10
0
7
0
24
Buccaneers
7
7
0
10
3
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
281
444
Total Plays
66
81
Yards / Play
4.3
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.01
Passing Yards
127
270
Comp/Att
16/26(62%)
29/42(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-0.02
Rushing Yards
154
174
Rush Attempts
36
37
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
30
Passing 1st downs
10
17
Rushing 1st downs
8
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
31%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
60%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.62
-15.02
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-34
-15
Sack EPA
-6.44
-2.32
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
85
107
Penalty EPA
+0.11
-8.14
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
7
Yards / Game
11
1
Passing Yards / Game
28
15
Rushing Yards / Game
1
5
EPA
EPA / Play
14
3
EPA / Pass
20
5
EPA / Rush
5
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
14
Interceptions / Game
7
13
Fumbles / Game
16
18
Turnover EPA / Game
17
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
7
4th Down Efficiency
25
13
RZ Efficiency
8
13
Buccaneers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
18
Yards / Game
24
22
Passing Yards / Game
23
17
Rushing Yards / Game
15
26
EPA
EPA / Play
21
17
EPA / Pass
22
7
EPA / Rush
15
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
15
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
10
2
Turnover EPA / Game
8
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
1
4th Down Efficiency
17
26
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U