ATLFalcons
11-5
24
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
030
ARICardinals
9-7
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
17
0
7
24
Cardinals
7
7
8
0
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
250
357
Total Plays
67
60
Yards / Play
3.7
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.12
Passing Yards
190
--
Comp/Att
26/40(65%)
19/32(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
--
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.10
Rushing Yards
60
86
Rush Attempts
24
28
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.47
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
15
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
43%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.61
-3.97
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-4.28
--
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
52
47
Penalty EPA
-3.58
-2.21
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
6
16
Passing Yards / Game
31
31
Rushing Yards / Game
3
10
EPA
EPA / Play
7
19
EPA / Pass
8
23
EPA / Rush
10
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
22
Interceptions / Game
9
9
Fumbles / Game
7
1
Turnover EPA / Game
27
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
25
4th Down Efficiency
15
29
RZ Efficiency
11
28
Cardinals Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
11
Yards / Game
4
24
Passing Yards / Game
1
23
Rushing Yards / Game
32
24
EPA
EPA / Play
10
16
EPA / Pass
5
17
EPA / Rush
30
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
28
Interceptions / Game
16
27
Fumbles / Game
24
21
Turnover EPA / Game
11
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
14
4th Down Efficiency
14
13
RZ Efficiency
8
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U