ATLFalcons
7-4
22
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
73°F
8 mph
16
LACChargers
4-7
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
73°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
6
7
0
7
20
Chargers
7
0
0
3
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
348
201
Total Plays
66
53
Yards / Play
5.3
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.13
Passing Yards
--
131
Comp/Att
17/23(74%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.18
Rushing Yards
141
70
Rush Attempts
43
19
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
13
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-15.13
+5.33
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-18
Sack EPA
--
-3.10
Penalties
3
9
Penalty Yards
20
84
Penalty EPA
-3.62
-8.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
17
Yards / Game
6
25
Passing Yards / Game
31
22
Rushing Yards / Game
3
11
EPA
EPA / Play
7
27
EPA / Pass
8
20
EPA / Rush
10
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
20
Interceptions / Game
9
17
Fumbles / Game
7
17
Turnover EPA / Game
27
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
19
4th Down Efficiency
15
15
RZ Efficiency
11
22
Chargers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
11
Yards / Game
10
24
Passing Yards / Game
14
23
Rushing Yards / Game
21
24
EPA
EPA / Play
1
16
EPA / Pass
3
17
EPA / Rush
7
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
28
Interceptions / Game
8
27
Fumbles / Game
9
21
Turnover EPA / Game
23
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
14
4th Down Efficiency
3
13
RZ Efficiency
12
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U