ATLFalcons
6-6
27
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
041
INDColts
4-8
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
14
3
10
27
Colts
7
21
0
13
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
316
512
Total Plays
65
68
Yards / Play
4.9
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.29
Passing Yards
250
--
Comp/Att
24/40(60%)
23/35(66%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.17
+0.33
Rushing Yards
66
187
Rush Attempts
19
33
Yards / Rush
3.5
5.7
EPA / Rush
-0.45
+0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
29
Passing 1st downs
15
16
Rushing 1st downs
2
11
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
50%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
3
5
Red Zone Attempts
6
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.09
-5.63
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-41
--
Sack EPA
-9.52
--
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
83
63
Penalty EPA
-2.32
-6.75
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
31
Yards / Game
14
29
Passing Yards / Game
8
11
Rushing Yards / Game
15
25
EPA
EPA / Play
19
31
EPA / Pass
20
28
EPA / Rush
14
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
22
Interceptions / Game
13
21
Fumbles / Game
20
23
Turnover EPA / Game
11
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
29
4th Down Efficiency
25
18
RZ Efficiency
26
31
Colts Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
24
Yards / Game
2
30
Passing Yards / Game
6
26
Rushing Yards / Game
7
21
EPA
EPA / Play
7
26
EPA / Pass
9
30
EPA / Rush
7
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
2
Interceptions / Game
27
13
Fumbles / Game
24
27
Turnover EPA / Game
1
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
31
4th Down Efficiency
4
1
RZ Efficiency
7
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U