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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. falcons @ cowboys week 1, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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ATL logo
ATLFalcons
-
27
TBD
Texas Stadium
82°F
5 mph
13
DALCowboys
-
DAL logo
TBD
Texas Stadium
82°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
0
14
10
27
Cowboys
7
0
0
6
13

Game Statistics

General
Falcons logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
318
403
Total Plays
59
59
Yards / Play
5.4
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.22
-0.09
Passing Yards
220
254
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
15/32(47%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
7.9
EPA / Pass
+0.37
+0.01
Rushing Yards
98
149
Rush Attempts
30
24
Yards / Rush
3.3
6.2
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
Falcons logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
17
16
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
36%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Falcons logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-1.13
-6.96
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-8
-14
Sack EPA
-2.88
-3.66
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
31
49
Penalty EPA
-4.42
-4.69

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
ATL logo
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Falcons Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Falcons logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
20
4
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
23
12
Rushing Yards / Game
14
4

EPA

EPA / Play
30
6
EPA / Pass
32
4
EPA / Rush
5
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
14
Interceptions / Game
28
28
Fumbles / Game
5
23
Turnover EPA / Game
6
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
3
4th Down Efficiency
9
19
RZ Efficiency
13
4
Cowboys Offense vs Falcons Defense
Cowboys logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
24
30
Yards / Game
18
32
Passing Yards / Game
5
25
Rushing Yards / Game
13
29

EPA

EPA / Play
25
22
EPA / Pass
21
29
EPA / Rush
23
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
18
Interceptions / Game
27
15
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
15
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
22
4th Down Efficiency
23
4
RZ Efficiency
27
24

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ATL logo

Falcons

5-4-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/10
0
T
W
P
11/17
7
W
W
P
11/24
41
W
W
P
12/01
6
W
W
P
12/08
-24
L
L
P
12/15
-6
L
L
P
12/22
21
W
W
P
12/29
-8
L
L
P
01/04
20
W
W
P
01/11
-14
L
L
P
DAL logo

Cowboys

2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/20
-3
L
W
P
10/27
-3
L
L
P
11/03
-2
L
W
P
11/17
-17
L
L
P
11/24
2
W
W
P
11/28
7
W
W
P
12/08
-4
L
W
P
12/15
-30
L
L
P
12/21
-24
L
L
P
12/29
-6
L
W
P