ATLFalcons
7-7
14
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
75°F
5 mph
21
MIADolphins
9-5
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
75°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
0
0
7
14
Dolphins
1
14
0
0
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
388
226
Total Plays
72
52
Yards / Play
5.4
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.11
Passing Yards
236
176
Comp/Att
18/31(58%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.21
-0.18
Rushing Yards
152
50
Rush Attempts
37
20
Yards / Rush
4.1
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
12
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
43%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-15.41
-7.97
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-29
-15
Sack EPA
-7.96
-4.02
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
37
48
Penalty EPA
-4.83
-4.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
10
Yards / Game
14
6
Passing Yards / Game
8
5
Rushing Yards / Game
15
20
EPA
EPA / Play
19
12
EPA / Pass
20
12
EPA / Rush
14
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
24
Interceptions / Game
13
17
Fumbles / Game
20
9
Turnover EPA / Game
11
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
14
4th Down Efficiency
25
13
RZ Efficiency
26
28
Dolphins Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
24
Yards / Game
25
30
Passing Yards / Game
26
26
Rushing Yards / Game
25
21
EPA
EPA / Play
13
26
EPA / Pass
12
30
EPA / Rush
13
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
2
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
31
27
Turnover EPA / Game
7
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
31
4th Down Efficiency
6
1
RZ Efficiency
13
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U