ATLFalcons
4-2
14
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
63°F
10 mph
27
PHIEagles
3-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
63°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
7
0
7
14
Eagles
0
10
7
10
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
335
432
Total Plays
70
68
Yards / Play
4.8
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.17
Passing Yards
258
240
Comp/Att
23/44(52%)
19/34(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.06
Rushing Yards
77
192
Rush Attempts
24
32
Yards / Rush
3.2
6.0
EPA / Rush
-0.30
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
24
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
38%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-8.92
-2.91
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-19
-13
Sack EPA
-3.15
-6.97
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
51
70
Penalty EPA
-3.21
-6.77
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
4
Yards / Game
6
3
Passing Yards / Game
31
4
Rushing Yards / Game
3
9
EPA
EPA / Play
7
4
EPA / Pass
8
3
EPA / Rush
10
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
26
Interceptions / Game
9
12
Fumbles / Game
7
6
Turnover EPA / Game
27
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
2
4th Down Efficiency
15
6
RZ Efficiency
11
17
Eagles Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
11
Yards / Game
8
24
Passing Yards / Game
12
23
Rushing Yards / Game
25
24
EPA
EPA / Play
14
16
EPA / Pass
11
17
EPA / Rush
24
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
28
Interceptions / Game
22
27
Fumbles / Game
17
21
Turnover EPA / Game
12
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
14
4th Down Efficiency
27
13
RZ Efficiency
24
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U