ATLFalcons
7-8
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
47°F
6 mph
24
PHIEagles
9-6
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
47°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
3
0
7
17
Eagles
10
7
0
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
378
393
Total Plays
74
53
Yards / Play
5.1
7.4
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.04
Passing Yards
219
--
Comp/Att
23/35(66%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
--
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.39
Rushing Yards
159
43
Rush Attempts
34
17
Yards / Rush
4.7
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
21
Passing 1st downs
13
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
41%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
11
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.07
-4.89
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-37
--
Sack EPA
-3.48
--
Penalties
9
11
Penalty Yards
99
108
Penalty EPA
-9.32
-11.77
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
17
Yards / Game
12
19
Passing Yards / Game
26
4
Rushing Yards / Game
1
28
EPA
EPA / Play
22
15
EPA / Pass
27
4
EPA / Rush
3
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
25
Interceptions / Game
13
13
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
31
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
15
4th Down Efficiency
25
12
RZ Efficiency
26
14
Eagles Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
14
Yards / Game
3
20
Passing Yards / Game
7
32
Rushing Yards / Game
10
10
EPA
EPA / Play
7
14
EPA / Pass
7
25
EPA / Rush
4
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
6
Interceptions / Game
1
25
Fumbles / Game
15
17
Turnover EPA / Game
19
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
23
4th Down Efficiency
20
8
RZ Efficiency
12
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U