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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. falcons @ eagles week 19, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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ATL logo
ATLFalcons
10-6
6
TBD
Veterans Stadium
29°F
10 mph
20
PHIEagles
12-4
PHI logo
TBD
Veterans Stadium
29°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
6
0
0
6
Eagles
4
3
0
7
14

Game Statistics

General
Falcons logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
345
318
Total Plays
66
58
Yards / Play
5.2
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.15
+0.05
Passing Yards
252
227
Comp/Att
23/39(59%)
20/30(67%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.11
+0.12
Rushing Yards
93
91
Rush Attempts
24
26
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
Falcons logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
19
15
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
47%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Falcons logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.87
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-27
-20
Sack EPA
-5.48
-4.99
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
95
30
Penalty EPA
-8.27
-3.02

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
ATL logo
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Falcons Offense vs Eagles Defense
Falcons logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
8
2
Yards / Game
13
5
Passing Yards / Game
19
10
Rushing Yards / Game
4
7

EPA

EPA / Play
8
2
EPA / Pass
14
3
EPA / Rush
8
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
16
Interceptions / Game
5
19
Fumbles / Game
23
4
Turnover EPA / Game
24
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
1
4th Down Efficiency
13
5
RZ Efficiency
25
3
Eagles Offense vs Falcons Defense
Eagles logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
5
6
Yards / Game
11
19
Passing Yards / Game
11
23
Rushing Yards / Game
8
18

EPA

EPA / Play
16
7
EPA / Pass
22
9
EPA / Rush
10
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
19
Interceptions / Game
2
3
Fumbles / Game
23
10
Turnover EPA / Game
25
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
21
4th Down Efficiency
15
10
RZ Efficiency
28
27

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ATL logo

Falcons

6-3-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/03
3
W
L
P
11/10
0
T
W
P
11/17
7
W
W
P
11/24
41
W
W
P
12/01
6
W
W
P
12/08
-24
L
L
P
12/15
-6
L
L
P
12/22
21
W
W
P
12/29
-8
L
L
P
01/04
20
W
W
P
PHI logo

Eagles

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/28
14
W
W
P
11/03
6
W
L
P
11/10
-22
L
L
P
11/17
24
W
W
P
11/25
21
W
W
P
12/01
7
W
W
P
12/08
7
W
W
P
12/15
13
W
W
P
12/21
24
W
W
P
12/28
-3
L
L
P