ATLFalcons
12-5
10
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
17°F
26 mph
27
PHIEagles
14-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
17°F
26 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
10
0
0
10
Eagles
7
7
6
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
202
326
Total Plays
54
62
Yards / Play
3.7
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.10
+0.16
Passing Yards
103
170
Comp/Att
11/24(46%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.37
+0.06
Rushing Yards
99
156
Rush Attempts
26
33
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
22
Passing 1st downs
4
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
18%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
50%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.50
--
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-33
-13
Sack EPA
-4.42
-2.00
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
24
59
Penalty EPA
-3.76
-4.84
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
1
Yards / Game
20
10
Passing Yards / Game
28
20
Rushing Yards / Game
1
14
EPA
EPA / Play
17
12
EPA / Pass
30
11
EPA / Rush
2
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
18
Interceptions / Game
13
16
Fumbles / Game
25
29
Turnover EPA / Game
17
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
10
4th Down Efficiency
6
19
RZ Efficiency
12
10
Eagles Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
14
Yards / Game
8
15
Passing Yards / Game
2
14
Rushing Yards / Game
24
9
EPA
EPA / Play
7
13
EPA / Pass
7
15
EPA / Rush
13
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
7
Interceptions / Game
6
12
Fumbles / Game
22
13
Turnover EPA / Game
27
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
18
4th Down Efficiency
32
24
RZ Efficiency
4
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U