ATLFalcons
0-1
7
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
88°F
9 mph
13
JAXJaguars
0-1
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
88°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
7
0
0
7
Jaguars
0
3
0
10
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
248
364
Total Plays
52
63
Yards / Play
4.8
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.10
+0.01
Passing Yards
166
251
Comp/Att
12/20(60%)
17/25(68%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
10.0
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.36
Rushing Yards
82
113
Rush Attempts
25
34
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
17
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
50%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
7
4
Sack Yards
-34
-21
Sack EPA
-9.06
-5.73
Penalties
5
11
Penalty Yards
--
91
Penalty EPA
--
-9.44
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
11
Yards / Game
23
13
Passing Yards / Game
5
26
Rushing Yards / Game
26
11
EPA
EPA / Play
31
18
EPA / Pass
29
19
EPA / Rush
28
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
18
Interceptions / Game
13
4
Fumbles / Game
12
12
Turnover EPA / Game
19
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
21
4th Down Efficiency
26
14
RZ Efficiency
29
24
Jaguars Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
29
Yards / Game
8
29
Passing Yards / Game
20
9
Rushing Yards / Game
2
26
EPA
EPA / Play
4
22
EPA / Pass
4
21
EPA / Rush
1
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
8
Interceptions / Game
2
18
Fumbles / Game
7
25
Turnover EPA / Game
30
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
8
4th Down Efficiency
8
15
RZ Efficiency
9
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
2-8
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U