ATLFalcons
3-7
10
TBD
Pontiac Silverdome
70°F
013
DETLions
5-4
TBD
Pontiac Silverdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
7
3
0
10
Lions
7
0
0
6
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
218
222
Total Plays
65
62
Yards / Play
3.4
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.22
Passing Yards
90
115
Comp/Att
14/33(42%)
12/27(44%)
Yards / Pass
2.7
4.3
EPA / Pass
-0.45
-0.42
Rushing Yards
114
107
Rush Attempts
29
33
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
12
Passing 1st downs
8
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
14%
19%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.43
-3.53
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-22
-13
Sack EPA
-3.82
-3.46
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
82
70
Penalty EPA
-6.16
-5.14
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
10
Yards / Game
30
14
Passing Yards / Game
20
12
Rushing Yards / Game
28
18
EPA
EPA / Play
28
3
EPA / Pass
30
7
EPA / Rush
28
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
5
Interceptions / Game
23
4
Fumbles / Game
23
5
Turnover EPA / Game
7
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
16
4th Down Efficiency
18
20
RZ Efficiency
30
23
Lions Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
26
Yards / Game
27
25
Passing Yards / Game
22
19
Rushing Yards / Game
20
26
EPA
EPA / Play
27
24
EPA / Pass
28
23
EPA / Rush
17
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
2
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
13
25
Turnover EPA / Game
9
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
10
4th Down Efficiency
18
21
RZ Efficiency
23
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U