ATLFalcons
6-4
27
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
07
DETLions
4-6
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
10
7
10
0
27
Lions
0
0
0
7
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
402
304
Total Plays
67
66
Yards / Play
6.0
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.28
Passing Yards
--
229
Comp/Att
12/22(55%)
25/48(52%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.39
Rushing Yards
256
75
Rush Attempts
45
13
Yards / Rush
5.7
5.8
EPA / Rush
+0.15
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
13
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
50%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
40%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-6.24
-15.20
Sacks
--
5
Sack Yards
--
-29
Sack EPA
--
-10.81
Penalties
11
9
Penalty Yards
84
50
Penalty EPA
-5.60
-5.42
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
21
Yards / Game
11
20
Passing Yards / Game
28
12
Rushing Yards / Game
1
24
EPA
EPA / Play
14
18
EPA / Pass
20
18
EPA / Rush
5
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
21
Interceptions / Game
7
7
Fumbles / Game
16
9
Turnover EPA / Game
17
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
20
4th Down Efficiency
25
21
RZ Efficiency
8
17
Lions Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
18
Yards / Game
27
22
Passing Yards / Game
21
17
Rushing Yards / Game
26
26
EPA
EPA / Play
29
17
EPA / Pass
28
7
EPA / Rush
17
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
15
Interceptions / Game
23
14
Fumbles / Game
12
2
Turnover EPA / Game
9
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
1
4th Down Efficiency
21
26
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U