ATLFalcons
4-4
23
TBD
Lambeau Field
59°F
16 mph
20
GBPackers
6-2
TBD
Lambeau Field
59°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
6
10
0
7
23
Packers
3
7
3
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
417
313
Total Plays
78
50
Yards / Play
5.3
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.04
Passing Yards
335
243
Comp/Att
29/50(58%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
8.4
EPA / Pass
+0.14
-0.12
Rushing Yards
82
70
Rush Attempts
25
19
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
14
Passing 1st downs
19
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
36%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.64
-13.71
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-17
-19
Sack EPA
-2.56
-7.33
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
70
25
Penalty EPA
-6.97
-3.07
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
9
Yards / Game
14
12
Passing Yards / Game
8
21
Rushing Yards / Game
15
14
EPA
EPA / Play
19
8
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
14
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
29
Interceptions / Game
13
10
Fumbles / Game
20
2
Turnover EPA / Game
11
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
21
4th Down Efficiency
25
10
RZ Efficiency
26
14
Packers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
24
Yards / Game
6
30
Passing Yards / Game
5
26
Rushing Yards / Game
21
21
EPA
EPA / Play
5
26
EPA / Pass
4
30
EPA / Rush
24
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
2
Interceptions / Game
19
13
Fumbles / Game
18
27
Turnover EPA / Game
9
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
31
4th Down Efficiency
19
1
RZ Efficiency
5
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U