ATLFalcons
9-6
27
TBD
Lambeau Field
31°F
5 mph
7
GBPackers
12-4
TBD
Lambeau Field
31°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
8
10
3
0
21
Packers
0
0
7
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
309
289
Total Plays
69
63
Yards / Play
4.5
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.33
Passing Yards
--
233
Comp/Att
13/25(52%)
20/42(48%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.13
Rushing Yards
192
56
Rush Attempts
44
19
Yards / Rush
4.4
2.9
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.43
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
7
12
Rushing 1st downs
13
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
47%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
8
8
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
+5.05
-11.47
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
--
-4.86
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
20
15
Penalty EPA
-2.26
-1.55
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
12
Yards / Game
13
7
Passing Yards / Game
19
3
Rushing Yards / Game
4
24
EPA
EPA / Play
8
8
EPA / Pass
14
2
EPA / Rush
8
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
24
Interceptions / Game
5
4
Fumbles / Game
23
2
Turnover EPA / Game
24
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
5
4th Down Efficiency
13
5
RZ Efficiency
25
17
Packers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
6
Yards / Game
12
19
Passing Yards / Game
8
23
Rushing Yards / Game
14
18
EPA
EPA / Play
19
7
EPA / Pass
17
9
EPA / Rush
19
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
19
Interceptions / Game
20
3
Fumbles / Game
19
10
Turnover EPA / Game
11
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
21
4th Down Efficiency
21
10
RZ Efficiency
18
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
6-3-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U