ATLFalcons
1-2
3
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
75°F
10 mph
23
CARPanthers
2-0
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
75°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
0
0
3
3
Panthers
7
10
0
6
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
267
361
Total Plays
52
66
Yards / Play
5.1
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.22
+0.13
Passing Yards
123
--
Comp/Att
14/23(61%)
17/27(63%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
--
EPA / Pass
-0.50
+0.25
Rushing Yards
144
193
Rush Attempts
23
39
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.11
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
19
Passing 1st downs
6
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
17%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.21
-3.06
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-29
--
Sack EPA
-8.16
--
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
84
40
Penalty EPA
-6.65
-3.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
8
Yards / Game
29
11
Passing Yards / Game
23
11
Rushing Yards / Game
14
10
EPA
EPA / Play
30
7
EPA / Pass
32
12
EPA / Rush
5
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
23
Interceptions / Game
28
9
Fumbles / Game
5
29
Turnover EPA / Game
6
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
7
4th Down Efficiency
9
13
RZ Efficiency
13
11
Panthers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
30
Yards / Game
14
32
Passing Yards / Game
27
25
Rushing Yards / Game
7
29
EPA
EPA / Play
16
22
EPA / Pass
14
29
EPA / Rush
24
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
18
Interceptions / Game
8
15
Fumbles / Game
27
2
Turnover EPA / Game
14
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
22
4th Down Efficiency
9
4
RZ Efficiency
31
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U