ATLFalcons
2-6
20
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
63°F
6 mph
13
CARPanthers
4-4
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
63°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
0
3
10
20
Panthers
0
4
0
3
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
277
235
Total Plays
57
59
Yards / Play
4.9
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.24
Passing Yards
189
145
Comp/Att
20/27(74%)
13/29(45%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
5.0
EPA / Pass
-0.06
-0.25
Rushing Yards
88
90
Rush Attempts
28
28
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
10
Passing 1st downs
7
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
31%
19%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
16
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.38
-3.34
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-8
Sack EPA
-2.04
-0.80
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
68
43
Penalty EPA
-7.00
-5.28
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
16
Yards / Game
23
15
Passing Yards / Game
5
1
Rushing Yards / Game
26
18
EPA
EPA / Play
31
17
EPA / Pass
29
18
EPA / Rush
28
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
16
Interceptions / Game
13
24
Fumbles / Game
12
3
Turnover EPA / Game
19
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
25
4th Down Efficiency
26
12
RZ Efficiency
29
16
Panthers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
29
Yards / Game
29
29
Passing Yards / Game
30
9
Rushing Yards / Game
14
26
EPA
EPA / Play
27
22
EPA / Pass
23
21
EPA / Rush
21
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
8
Interceptions / Game
19
18
Fumbles / Game
19
25
Turnover EPA / Game
25
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
8
4th Down Efficiency
19
15
RZ Efficiency
18
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
2-8
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U