ATLFalcons
5-4
10
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
73°F
12 mph
7
CARPanthers
1-9
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
73°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
7
0
0
10
Panthers
0
0
0
7
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
239
247
Total Plays
64
63
Yards / Play
3.7
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.14
Passing Yards
94
151
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
3.5
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.20
-0.18
Rushing Yards
145
96
Rush Attempts
33
28
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.4
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
14
Passing 1st downs
5
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
41%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
17
16
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-2.83
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-38
-20
Sack EPA
-6.78
-4.89
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
30
30
Penalty EPA
-2.98
-3.31
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
28
Yards / Game
14
31
Passing Yards / Game
8
18
Rushing Yards / Game
15
31
EPA
EPA / Play
19
20
EPA / Pass
20
25
EPA / Rush
14
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
20
Interceptions / Game
13
3
Fumbles / Game
20
23
Turnover EPA / Game
11
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
27
4th Down Efficiency
25
31
RZ Efficiency
26
21
Panthers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
24
Yards / Game
30
30
Passing Yards / Game
27
26
Rushing Yards / Game
29
21
EPA
EPA / Play
30
26
EPA / Pass
30
30
EPA / Rush
30
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
2
Interceptions / Game
25
13
Fumbles / Game
24
27
Turnover EPA / Game
4
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
31
4th Down Efficiency
30
1
RZ Efficiency
14
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U