ATLFalcons
7-4
6
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
60°F
12 mph
24
CARPanthers
8-3
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
60°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
3
0
0
6
Panthers
7
7
0
10
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
259
306
Total Plays
63
61
Yards / Play
4.1
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.22
+0.06
Passing Yards
139
--
Comp/Att
17/35(49%)
17/27(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
--
EPA / Pass
-0.35
+0.04
Rushing Yards
120
142
Rush Attempts
23
34
Yards / Rush
5.2
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
14
Passing 1st downs
8
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
41%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.04
-2.55
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-32
--
Sack EPA
-7.48
--
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
37
38
Penalty EPA
-2.18
-4.62
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
4
Yards / Game
11
2
Passing Yards / Game
28
13
Rushing Yards / Game
1
6
EPA
EPA / Play
14
2
EPA / Pass
20
3
EPA / Rush
5
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
25
Interceptions / Game
7
4
Fumbles / Game
16
3
Turnover EPA / Game
17
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
19
4th Down Efficiency
25
5
RZ Efficiency
8
10
Panthers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
18
Yards / Game
21
22
Passing Yards / Game
20
17
Rushing Yards / Game
16
26
EPA
EPA / Play
9
17
EPA / Pass
8
7
EPA / Rush
18
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
15
Interceptions / Game
21
14
Fumbles / Game
11
2
Turnover EPA / Game
19
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
1
4th Down Efficiency
27
26
RZ Efficiency
10
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
8-2
SU
6-2-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U