ATLFalcons
3-9
14
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
57°F
8 mph
41
OAKRaiders
9-2
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
57°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
0
0
7
14
Raiders
3
21
14
3
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
181
492
Total Plays
47
61
Yards / Play
3.9
8.1
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.39
Passing Yards
150
222
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
15/22(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
10.1
EPA / Pass
-0.25
+0.36
Rushing Yards
31
270
Rush Attempts
13
38
Yards / Rush
2.4
7.1
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
24
Passing 1st downs
9
6
Rushing 1st downs
1
16
Penalty 1st downs
5
2
3rd Down %
11%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
1
4
3rd Down Attempts
9
9
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.77
-4.11
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-32
-9
Sack EPA
-6.22
-2.00
Penalties
10
12
Penalty Yards
55
108
Penalty EPA
-4.86
-8.00
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
9
Yards / Game
30
16
Passing Yards / Game
20
27
Rushing Yards / Game
28
5
EPA
EPA / Play
28
6
EPA / Pass
30
13
EPA / Rush
28
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
25
Interceptions / Game
23
6
Fumbles / Game
23
9
Turnover EPA / Game
7
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
17
4th Down Efficiency
18
5
RZ Efficiency
30
23
Raiders Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
26
Yards / Game
9
25
Passing Yards / Game
27
19
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
4
24
EPA / Pass
5
23
EPA / Rush
5
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
2
Interceptions / Game
6
22
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
26
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
10
4th Down Efficiency
23
21
RZ Efficiency
5
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Raiders
8-2
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U