ATLFalcons
2-4
29
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
045
LARRams
5-0
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
8
7
0
8
23
Rams
7
22
8
8
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
261
537
Total Plays
50
79
Yards / Play
5.2
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.35
+0.40
Passing Yards
198
306
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
24/42(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.33
Rushing Yards
63
231
Rush Attempts
17
34
Yards / Rush
3.7
6.8
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
29
Passing 1st downs
13
15
Rushing 1st downs
4
13
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
25%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
8
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.36
-2.21
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-22
-11
Sack EPA
-5.92
-4.87
Penalties
8
11
Penalty Yards
40
96
Penalty EPA
-4.66
-9.74
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
31
Yards / Game
30
23
Passing Yards / Game
20
30
Rushing Yards / Game
28
10
EPA
EPA / Play
28
29
EPA / Pass
30
27
EPA / Rush
28
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
11
Interceptions / Game
23
11
Fumbles / Game
23
22
Turnover EPA / Game
7
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
18
4th Down Efficiency
18
16
RZ Efficiency
30
22
Rams Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
26
Yards / Game
1
25
Passing Yards / Game
1
19
Rushing Yards / Game
18
26
EPA
EPA / Play
1
24
EPA / Pass
1
23
EPA / Rush
1
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
2
Interceptions / Game
29
22
Fumbles / Game
4
25
Turnover EPA / Game
6
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
10
4th Down Efficiency
5
21
RZ Efficiency
1
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
9-1
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U