ATLFalcons
2-0
3
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
023
NOSaints
2-0
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
0
0
0
3
Saints
8
6
3
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
229
326
Total Plays
59
63
Yards / Play
3.9
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.35
-0.01
Passing Yards
112
180
Comp/Att
12/31(39%)
20/28(71%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.39
+0.14
Rushing Yards
117
146
Rush Attempts
23
34
Yards / Rush
5.1
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
19
Passing 1st downs
7
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
19%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-25
-11
Sack EPA
-6.36
-2.38
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
43
40
Penalty EPA
-5.73
-3.83
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
19
Yards / Game
12
11
Passing Yards / Game
26
10
Rushing Yards / Game
1
24
EPA
EPA / Play
22
18
EPA / Pass
27
15
EPA / Rush
3
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
26
Interceptions / Game
13
30
Fumbles / Game
1
30
Turnover EPA / Game
31
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
5
4th Down Efficiency
25
21
RZ Efficiency
26
22
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
14
Yards / Game
1
20
Passing Yards / Game
3
32
Rushing Yards / Game
19
10
EPA
EPA / Play
6
14
EPA / Pass
3
25
EPA / Rush
15
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
6
Interceptions / Game
5
25
Fumbles / Game
24
17
Turnover EPA / Game
15
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
23
4th Down Efficiency
11
8
RZ Efficiency
10
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U