ATLFalcons
0-4
20
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
017
NOSaints
1-2
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
0
7
6
20
Saints
0
17
0
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
251
390
Total Plays
56
65
Yards / Play
4.5
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.17
Passing Yards
147
319
Comp/Att
11/20(55%)
22/39(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.01
+0.05
Rushing Yards
104
71
Rush Attempts
33
24
Yards / Rush
3.2
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.24
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
18
Passing 1st downs
4
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-7.33
-7.13
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-15
-19
Sack EPA
-5.20
-2.83
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
68
64
Penalty EPA
-5.47
-8.05
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
28
Yards / Game
27
19
Passing Yards / Game
21
18
Rushing Yards / Game
30
19
EPA
EPA / Play
26
27
EPA / Pass
19
20
EPA / Rush
30
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
16
Interceptions / Game
20
13
Fumbles / Game
23
10
Turnover EPA / Game
8
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
20
4th Down Efficiency
20
31
RZ Efficiency
12
28
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
25
Yards / Game
19
16
Passing Yards / Game
20
10
Rushing Yards / Game
17
29
EPA
EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
25
26
EPA / Rush
21
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
6
Interceptions / Game
30
28
Fumbles / Game
6
29
Turnover EPA / Game
1
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
22
4th Down Efficiency
19
13
RZ Efficiency
24
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
0-4
SU
1-3
ATS
0-0-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Saints
1-2
SU
2-1
ATS
0-0-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U