ATLFalcons
2-3
20
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
013
NOSaints
3-1
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
10
0
0
10
20
Saints
0
10
0
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
297
276
Total Plays
53
68
Yards / Play
5.6
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.24
Passing Yards
173
213
Comp/Att
15/21(71%)
23/39(59%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.21
Rushing Yards
124
63
Rush Attempts
30
24
Yards / Rush
4.1
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
16
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.90
-4.02
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-12
-36
Sack EPA
-3.25
-6.32
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
34
25
Penalty EPA
-3.28
-2.65
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
27
Yards / Game
14
17
Passing Yards / Game
8
15
Rushing Yards / Game
15
13
EPA
EPA / Play
19
25
EPA / Pass
20
24
EPA / Rush
14
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
5
Interceptions / Game
13
21
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
11
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
23
4th Down Efficiency
25
1
RZ Efficiency
26
30
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
24
Yards / Game
10
30
Passing Yards / Game
9
26
Rushing Yards / Game
19
21
EPA
EPA / Play
20
26
EPA / Pass
16
30
EPA / Rush
28
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
25
13
Fumbles / Game
15
27
Turnover EPA / Game
10
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
31
4th Down Efficiency
22
1
RZ Efficiency
12
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U