ATLFalcons
3-2
34
TBD
Alamo Dome
70°F
031
NOSaints
2-3
TBD
Alamo Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
2
0
17
22
Saints
7
3
7
14
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
266
456
Total Plays
57
67
Yards / Play
4.7
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.01
Passing Yards
106
245
Comp/Att
11/23(48%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
7.4
EPA / Pass
-0.31
+0.18
Rushing Yards
160
211
Rush Attempts
33
32
Yards / Rush
4.8
6.6
EPA / Rush
+0.25
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
32
Passing 1st downs
6
14
Rushing 1st downs
12
15
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
58%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
7
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.94
-15.82
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-6
-14
Sack EPA
-1.95
-1.94
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
79
55
Penalty EPA
-5.90
-5.38
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
28
Yards / Game
11
15
Passing Yards / Game
28
3
Rushing Yards / Game
1
27
EPA
EPA / Play
14
28
EPA / Pass
20
27
EPA / Rush
5
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
13
Interceptions / Game
7
27
Fumbles / Game
16
23
Turnover EPA / Game
17
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
26
4th Down Efficiency
25
31
RZ Efficiency
8
12
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
18
Yards / Game
20
22
Passing Yards / Game
5
17
Rushing Yards / Game
18
26
EPA
EPA / Play
30
17
EPA / Pass
25
7
EPA / Rush
26
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
15
Interceptions / Game
30
14
Fumbles / Game
30
2
Turnover EPA / Game
2
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
1
4th Down Efficiency
32
26
RZ Efficiency
27
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U