ATLFalcons
1-5
16
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
022
NOSaints
1-4
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
3
10
0
3
16
Saints
7
0
7
8
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
334
312
Total Plays
68
57
Yards / Play
4.9
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.03
Passing Yards
259
--
Comp/Att
27/41(66%)
22/34(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.18
+0.08
Rushing Yards
75
93
Rush Attempts
24
23
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.25
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
14
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
50%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-1.39
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-14
--
Sack EPA
-4.21
--
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
52
--
Penalty EPA
-6.96
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
25
Yards / Game
23
26
Passing Yards / Game
5
25
Rushing Yards / Game
26
13
EPA
EPA / Play
31
23
EPA / Pass
29
30
EPA / Rush
28
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
32
Interceptions / Game
13
28
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
19
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
22
4th Down Efficiency
26
7
RZ Efficiency
29
15
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
29
Yards / Game
5
29
Passing Yards / Game
22
9
Rushing Yards / Game
28
26
EPA
EPA / Play
14
22
EPA / Pass
10
21
EPA / Rush
17
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
8
Interceptions / Game
20
18
Fumbles / Game
19
25
Turnover EPA / Game
10
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
8
4th Down Efficiency
17
15
RZ Efficiency
1
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U