ATLFalcons
3-3
37
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
035
NOSaints
6-1
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
14
10
13
37
Saints
10
0
15
10
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
446
353
Total Plays
66
60
Yards / Play
6.8
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.32
+0.24
Passing Yards
186
--
Comp/Att
16/25(64%)
16/36(44%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.03
Rushing Yards
260
159
Rush Attempts
38
24
Yards / Rush
6.8
6.6
EPA / Rush
+0.39
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
22
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
13
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
64%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
8
Red Zone %
50%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
6
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-7.46
-12.09
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-2.59
--
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
95
96
Penalty EPA
-9.80
-10.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
26
Yards / Game
13
27
Passing Yards / Game
19
27
Rushing Yards / Game
4
20
EPA
EPA / Play
8
16
EPA / Pass
14
19
EPA / Rush
8
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
13
Interceptions / Game
5
7
Fumbles / Game
23
1
Turnover EPA / Game
24
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
18
4th Down Efficiency
13
25
RZ Efficiency
25
23
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
6
Yards / Game
18
19
Passing Yards / Game
10
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
18
EPA
EPA / Play
13
7
EPA / Pass
19
9
EPA / Rush
12
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
19
Interceptions / Game
12
3
Fumbles / Game
15
10
Turnover EPA / Game
15
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
21
4th Down Efficiency
6
10
RZ Efficiency
13
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U