ATLFalcons
8-4
25
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
029
NOSaints
6-6
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
14
3
8
25
Saints
7
9
0
13
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
416
414
Total Plays
64
63
Yards / Play
6.5
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.26
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.43
+0.27
Rushing Yards
99
184
Rush Attempts
30
31
Yards / Rush
3.3
5.9
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
24
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
58%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
10
Red Zone %
75%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.56
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
34
30
Penalty EPA
-3.66
-2.98
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
26
Yards / Game
6
23
Passing Yards / Game
31
11
Rushing Yards / Game
3
17
EPA
EPA / Play
7
22
EPA / Pass
8
18
EPA / Rush
10
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
30
Interceptions / Game
9
14
Fumbles / Game
7
26
Turnover EPA / Game
27
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
18
4th Down Efficiency
15
19
RZ Efficiency
11
10
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
11
Yards / Game
1
24
Passing Yards / Game
3
23
Rushing Yards / Game
28
24
EPA
EPA / Play
3
16
EPA / Pass
1
17
EPA / Rush
21
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
28
Interceptions / Game
24
27
Fumbles / Game
10
21
Turnover EPA / Game
8
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
14
4th Down Efficiency
12
13
RZ Efficiency
5
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U