ATLFalcons
3-11
7
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
023
NOSaints
9-5
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
0
7
0
7
Saints
0
7
7
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
163
373
Total Plays
46
66
Yards / Play
3.5
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.37
-0.02
Passing Yards
99
281
Comp/Att
9/20(45%)
24/35(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
8.0
EPA / Pass
-0.79
+0.21
Rushing Yards
64
92
Rush Attempts
21
30
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
9
19
Passing 1st downs
3
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
33%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-16.92
-5.16
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-27
-4
Sack EPA
-4.97
-1.89
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
33
50
Penalty EPA
-3.74
-4.37
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
14
Yards / Game
30
13
Passing Yards / Game
20
14
Rushing Yards / Game
28
9
EPA
EPA / Play
28
13
EPA / Pass
30
10
EPA / Rush
28
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
16
Interceptions / Game
23
9
Fumbles / Game
23
14
Turnover EPA / Game
7
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
24
4th Down Efficiency
18
6
RZ Efficiency
30
15
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
26
Yards / Game
12
25
Passing Yards / Game
9
19
Rushing Yards / Game
14
26
EPA
EPA / Play
13
24
EPA / Pass
8
23
EPA / Rush
15
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
2
Interceptions / Game
13
22
Fumbles / Game
18
25
Turnover EPA / Game
25
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
10
4th Down Efficiency
7
21
RZ Efficiency
14
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U