ATLFalcons
11-3
13
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
026
NOSaints
6-8
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
6
7
0
13
Saints
3
7
14
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
267
369
Total Plays
68
68
Yards / Play
3.9
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.04
Passing Yards
174
209
Comp/Att
17/41(41%)
12/24(50%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.32
-0.24
Rushing Yards
93
160
Rush Attempts
24
40
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.10
-10.62
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-14
-18
Sack EPA
-2.93
-6.50
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
35
73
Penalty EPA
-3.02
-5.64
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
26
Yards / Game
20
32
Passing Yards / Game
28
18
Rushing Yards / Game
1
29
EPA
EPA / Play
17
23
EPA / Pass
30
24
EPA / Rush
2
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
12
Interceptions / Game
13
25
Fumbles / Game
25
1
Turnover EPA / Game
17
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
17
4th Down Efficiency
6
32
RZ Efficiency
12
14
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
14
Yards / Game
15
15
Passing Yards / Game
5
14
Rushing Yards / Game
25
9
EPA
EPA / Play
14
13
EPA / Pass
15
15
EPA / Rush
26
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
7
Interceptions / Game
14
12
Fumbles / Game
11
13
Turnover EPA / Game
10
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
18
4th Down Efficiency
14
24
RZ Efficiency
5
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U