ATLFalcons
1-5
9
TBD
Three Rivers Stadium
53°F
6 mph
13
PITSteelers
3-3
TBD
Three Rivers Stadium
53°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
0
0
7
7
Steelers
7
6
0
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
236
226
Total Plays
65
57
Yards / Play
3.6
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.06
Passing Yards
187
115
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
13/21(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
5.5
EPA / Pass
-0.14
+0.08
Rushing Yards
49
111
Rush Attempts
25
35
Yards / Rush
2.0
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.37
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
14
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
5
1
3rd Down %
36%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.18
-4.01
Sacks
7
1
Sack Yards
-46
-12
Sack EPA
-10.71
-1.92
Penalties
3
9
Penalty Yards
15
91
Penalty EPA
-1.70
-8.28
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
13
Yards / Game
27
9
Passing Yards / Game
21
12
Rushing Yards / Game
30
27
EPA
EPA / Play
26
17
EPA / Pass
19
11
EPA / Rush
30
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
19
Interceptions / Game
20
23
Fumbles / Game
23
10
Turnover EPA / Game
8
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
4
4th Down Efficiency
20
20
RZ Efficiency
12
8
Steelers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
25
Yards / Game
21
16
Passing Yards / Game
16
10
Rushing Yards / Game
9
29
EPA
EPA / Play
13
25
EPA / Pass
22
26
EPA / Rush
7
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
6
Interceptions / Game
16
28
Fumbles / Game
2
29
Turnover EPA / Game
19
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
22
4th Down Efficiency
27
13
RZ Efficiency
8
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
1-5
SU
2-4
ATS
0-0-6
O/U
Steelers
3-3
SU
4-2
ATS
0-0-6
O/U