ATLFalcons
9-5
24
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
017
MINVikings
9-5
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
10
7
0
24
Vikings
7
0
0
10
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
222
350
Total Plays
58
70
Yards / Play
3.8
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.08
Passing Yards
124
195
Comp/Att
13/24(54%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.17
Rushing Yards
98
155
Rush Attempts
32
31
Yards / Rush
3.1
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
24
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
9
11
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
42%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
+5.15
-16.89
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-10
-38
Sack EPA
-2.35
-9.86
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
70
--
Penalty EPA
-9.00
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
12
Yards / Game
6
8
Passing Yards / Game
31
28
Rushing Yards / Game
3
2
EPA
EPA / Play
7
5
EPA / Pass
8
7
EPA / Rush
10
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
7
Interceptions / Game
9
21
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
27
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
4
4th Down Efficiency
15
4
RZ Efficiency
11
4
Vikings Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
11
Yards / Game
17
24
Passing Yards / Game
11
23
Rushing Yards / Game
4
24
EPA
EPA / Play
27
16
EPA / Pass
26
17
EPA / Rush
15
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
28
Interceptions / Game
23
27
Fumbles / Game
23
21
Turnover EPA / Game
5
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
14
4th Down Efficiency
15
13
RZ Efficiency
28
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U