NYGGiants
1-7
21
TBD
Levi's Stadium
68°F
5 mph
31
SF49ers
0-9
TBD
Levi's Stadium
68°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
6
7
0
8
21
49ers
3
14
0
14
31
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
376
474
Total Plays
64
58
Yards / Play
5.9
8.2
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.23
Passing Yards
260
--
Comp/Att
28/37(76%)
19/25(76%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
--
EPA / Pass
+0.23
+0.59
Rushing Yards
116
186
Rush Attempts
24
33
Yards / Rush
4.8
5.6
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
36%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.76
-10.01
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-7.11
--
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
35
44
Penalty EPA
-4.87
-5.18
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model52.1%
Spread Pick
49ers+3.0
Expected Value
+8.7%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+29
Home nfelo
1,373
Away nfelo
1,404
Home Field
+95.8
Base HFA
+56.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.6
Time Adj
+20.1
Net QB Adjustment
-35.8
Home QB Adjustment
-41.1
Away QB Adjustment
-5.3
Market Regression
-29.9
Final Difference
-14.6
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-5.3
C. Beathard
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-41.1
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
25
Yards / Game
22
25
Passing Yards / Game
32
4
Rushing Yards / Game
26
22
EPA
EPA / Play
32
25
EPA / Pass
27
26
EPA / Rush
27
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
10
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
16
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
30
4th Down Efficiency
25
32
RZ Efficiency
24
26
49ers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
27
Yards / Game
12
31
Passing Yards / Game
11
7
Rushing Yards / Game
20
26
EPA
EPA / Play
16
18
EPA / Pass
17
21
EPA / Rush
9
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
19
Interceptions / Game
23
15
Fumbles / Game
13
23
Turnover EPA / Game
10
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
21
4th Down Efficiency
19
4
RZ Efficiency
28
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
49ers
0-10
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U